Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Brazil to win @ 1.78 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrazil to win ✗63% · @1.78
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Brazil vs Norway preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Brazil take on Norway on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at MetLife Stadium.
Form guide
Brazil's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Japan 2–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Norway's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Ivory Coast 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Brazil arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Brazil and 1.0 for Norway. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brazil 63%, draw 22%, Norway 15%.
Safer route: Brazil or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Brazil to win at 1.78 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Brazil or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brazil 2–1 Norway. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brazil63%fair 1.58 · @1.78
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Norway15%fair 6.63 · @4.30
3.26Expected goals
2.23Brazil xG
1.03Norway xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Brazil 2.2 – 1.0 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✗
63%
1.58
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Brazil or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Brazil – last 6
WWWDWW
29 Jun
vs Japan
2–1
W
24 Jun
@ Scotland
3–0
W
20 Jun
vs Haiti
3–0
W
13 Jun
vs Morocco
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Egypt
2–1
W
31 May
vs Panama
6–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Norway – last 6
WLWWDW
30 Jun
@ Ivory Coast
2–1
W
26 Jun
vs France
1–4
L
23 Jun
vs Senegal
3–2
W
16 Jun
@ Iraq
4–1
W
7 Jun
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Sweden
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil and Norway.
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brazil vs Norway?
Our pick is Brazil or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brazil vs Norway?
On our numbers Brazil have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norway 15%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil vs Norway?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Norway?
Our predicted score is Brazil 2–1 Norway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Brazil vs Norway?
Brazil vs Norway (World Cup) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
