Oberliga Hamburg · GermanyNiendorfer TSV vs Buchholz prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Niendorfer TSV 2.6 – 2.2 Buchholz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Niendorfer TSV hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 35% for Buchholz.
Niendorfer TSV have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Buchholz have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 3.8 conceded. Niendorfer TSV come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.8 goals (2.6 for Niendorfer TSV, 2.2 for Buchholz). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–2 (7%), 2–1 (6%), 3–2 (6%).
In their last 1 meeting, Niendorfer TSV have won 0, Buchholz have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Niendorfer TSV to win ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | 2.14 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 95% | 1.05 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.58 |
| Half-time result | Niendorfer TSV ahead at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Niendorfer TSV / FT Niendorfer TSV ✓ | 30% | 3.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 6% | 16.32 | – |
Form
Niendorfer TSV – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ ETSV Hamburg | 6–4 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Concordia | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Teutonia Ottensen | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Tus Dassendorf | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Sasel | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Süderelbe | 1–0 | W |
Buchholz – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Paloma | 2–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Nikola Tesla | 1–6 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ Teutonia Ottensen | 3–6 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Norderstedt II | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Harksheide | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Altona 93 | 5–5 | D |
Head to head
| 30 Apr 2026 | Buchholz v Niendorfer TSV | 1–1 |
Oberliga Hamburg table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ETSV Hamburg | 34 | +99 | 83 |
| 2 |  Eimsbütteler TV | 34 | +57 | 78 |
| 3 |  Tus Dassendorf | 34 | +67 | 76 |
| 4 |  Victoria Hamburg | 34 | +35 | 64 |
| 5 |  Paloma | 34 | +34 | 61 |
| 6 |  HT16 | 34 | 0 | 57 |
| 7 |  Teutonia Ottensen | 34 | -9 | 52 |
| 8 |  Süderelbe | 34 | +8 | 51 |
| 9 |  Niendorfer TSV | 34 | +18 | 50 |
| 10 |  Sasel | 34 | +3 | 50 |
| 11 |  Harksheide | 34 | -27 | 45 |
| 12 |  Buchholz | 34 | +7 | 44 |
| 13 |  HEBC | 34 | -18 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vorwärts-Wacker 04 | 34 | -23 | 38 |
| 15 |  Nikola Tesla | 34 | -25 | 37 |
| 16 |  Türkiye | 34 | -47 | 29 |
| 17 |  Halstenbek-Rellingen | 34 | -63 | 12 |
| 18 |  Curslack-Neuengamme | 34 | -116 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Niendorfer TSV vs Buchholz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Niendorfer TSV vs Buchholz?
On our numbers Niendorfer TSV have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Buchholz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Niendorfer TSV vs Buchholz?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
When is Niendorfer TSV vs Buchholz?
Niendorfer TSV vs Buchholz (Oberliga Hamburg) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.