Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKarpaty to win ✗64% · @1.44
Double chanceKarpaty or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Chornomorets vs Karpaty preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Chornomorets take on Karpaty on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Chornomorets Stadium. Chornomorets are 11th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Karpaty sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chornomorets's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Zorya Luhansk 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Karpaty's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Karpaty arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Chornomorets and 1.7 for Karpaty. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Karpaty to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Chornomorets 0–1 Karpaty. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chornomorets16%fair 6.40 · @6.00
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.00
Karpaty64%fair 1.56 · @1.44
2.41Expected goals
0.68Chornomorets xG
1.73Karpaty xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Chornomorets 0.7 – 1.7 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karpaty to win✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Double chance
Karpaty or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Karpaty ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karpaty / FT Karpaty✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.44
–
Form
Chornomorets – last 6
LLDLDW
17 Oct
@ Zorya Luhansk
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs FC Kharkiv
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs Obolon'-Brovar
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Kryvbas KR
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Karpaty – last 6
DLWDWW
18 Oct
vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Dynamo Kyiv
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Veres Rivne
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Kolos Kovalivka
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chornomorets and Karpaty.
What is the prediction for Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
Our pick is Karpaty to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Chornomorets have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karpaty 64%.
How many goals will there be in Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
Our predicted score is Chornomorets 0–1 Karpaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chornomorets vs Karpaty?
Chornomorets vs Karpaty (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Chornomorets Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
