Premier League · Ukraine · Tsentralnyi StadionPolessya vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Value bet: Dynamo Kyiv to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Polessya 1.4 – 1.2 Dynamo Kyiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Polessya and Dynamo Kyiv on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Polessya have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Dynamo Kyiv have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Polessya, 1.2 for Dynamo Kyiv). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Polessya have won 0, Dynamo Kyiv have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.74. For a bigger price, Dynamo Kyiv to win at 3.20 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Polessya to win ✓ | 40% | 2.47 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Polessya / FT Polessya ✗ | 23% | 4.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.93 | – |
Form
Polessya – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Bukovyna | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Kryvbas KR | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Livyi Bereh | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Kudrivka | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Kudrivka | 5–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Shakhtar Donetsk | 2–0 | W |
Dynamo Kyiv – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Karpaty | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Zorya Luhansk | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | @ Nyva Vinnytsya | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs LNZ Cherkasy | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Bukovyna | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 8 Mar 2026 | Polessya v Dynamo Kyiv | 1–2 |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 |  Polessya | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Karpaty | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bukovyna | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |  Chornomorets | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Veres Rivne | 12 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Kudrivka | 12 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas KR | 10 | -8 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
On our numbers Polessya have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dynamo Kyiv 35%.
How many goals will there be in Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Polessya vs Dynamo Kyiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.