Premier League · Ukraine · Slavutych-ArenaZorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets prediction & analysis
Zorya Luhansk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 1.7 – 0.6 Chornomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zorya Luhansk are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Chornomorets.
Zorya Luhansk have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Chornomorets have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Zorya Luhansk, 0.6 for Chornomorets). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Zorya Luhansk to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zorya Luhansk to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.65 ▲ |
| Double chance | Zorya Luhansk or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.08 | – |
Form
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
| 12 Oct | @ Livyi Bereh | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Dynamo Kyiv | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Bukovyna | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Yarud Mariupol' | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Veres Rivne | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs FC Kharkiv | 0–3 | L |
Chornomorets – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs FC Kharkiv | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Obolon'-Brovar | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | @ Shakhtar Donetsk | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Livyi Bereh | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Kryvbas KR | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Vilkhivtsi | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and Chornomorets.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 |  Polessya | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Karpaty | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bukovyna | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |  Chornomorets | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Veres Rivne | 12 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Kudrivka | 12 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas KR | 10 | -8 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
Our pick is Zorya Luhansk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chornomorets 15%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets?
Zorya Luhansk vs Chornomorets (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Slavutych-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.