Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Polessya to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolessya to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chancePolessya or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.45
Bukovyna vs Polessya preview and prediction
The match
Bukovyna host Polessya in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Bukovyna Stadium. Bukovyna are 10th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Polessya sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bukovyna's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to FC Kharkiv 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Polessya's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kryvbas KR 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Polessya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Bukovyna and 1.6 for Polessya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Polessya to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Polessya or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Bukovyna 0–1 Polessya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bukovyna16%fair 6.22 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Polessya64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.14Expected goals
0.58Bukovyna xG
1.56Polessya xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bukovyna 0.6 – 1.6 Polessya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polessya to win✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Polessya or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polessya / FT Polessya✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.45
–
Form
Bukovyna – last 6
LDDDWW
19 Sep
@ FC Kharkiv
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs LNZ Cherkasy
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Zorya Luhansk
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Dynamo Kyiv
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Nyva Ternopil
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Polessya – last 6
WWWWWL
18 Sep
vs Kryvbas KR
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Livyi Bereh
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Kudrivka
2–0
W
4 Sep
vs Kudrivka
5–1
W
29 Aug
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–0
W
17 Aug
vs Zorya Luhansk
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bukovyna and Polessya.
Our pick is Polessya or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bukovyna vs Polessya?
On our numbers Bukovyna have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Polessya 64%.
How many goals will there be in Bukovyna vs Polessya?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bukovyna vs Polessya?
Our predicted score is Bukovyna 0–1 Polessya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Bukovyna vs Polessya?
Bukovyna vs Polessya (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Bukovyna Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
