Premier League · Ukraine · Arena LvivShakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.9 – 0.3 Chornomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 7% for Chornomorets.
Shakhtar Donetsk have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Chornomorets have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. Shakhtar Donetsk come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.9 for Shakhtar Donetsk, 0.3 for Chornomorets). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 2–0 (19%), 3–0 (12%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.83.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Shakhtar Donetsk to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.12 |
| Double chance | Shakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Half-time result | Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk ✓ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 4.90 | – |
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
| 10 Sep | @ PSV Eindhoven | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Karpaty | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Polessya | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ FC Kharkiv | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Aug | vs Kudrivka | 5–1 | W |
Chornomorets – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Livyi Bereh | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Kryvbas KR | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Vilkhivtsi | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ LNZ Cherkasy | 0–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Polessya | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Kolos Kovalivka | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Chornomorets.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 |  Polessya | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Karpaty | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bukovyna | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |  Chornomorets | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Veres Rivne | 12 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Kudrivka | 12 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas KR | 10 | -8 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chornomorets 7%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Chornomorets (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.