Premier League · Ukraine · Slavutych-ArenaZorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: Zorya Luhansk to win @ 1.68 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 2.3 – 1.0 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zorya Luhansk are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 14% for Kryvbas KR.
Zorya Luhansk have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Kryvbas KR have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.3 for Zorya Luhansk, 1.0 for Kryvbas KR). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Zorya Luhansk have won 0, Kryvbas KR have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.23. For a bigger price, Zorya Luhansk to win at 1.68 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zorya Luhansk to win ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.68 ▲ |
| Double chance | Zorya Luhansk or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Zorya Luhansk ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.95 | – |
Form
Zorya Luhansk – last 6
| 31 Jul | vs Kolos Kovalivka | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | vs Göztepe | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Grimsby | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jul | vs Konyaspor | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Jul | @ Slovácko | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Jul | @ HNK Gorica | 1–2 | L |
Kryvbas KR – last 6
| 1 Aug | vs Karpaty | 1–4 | L |
| 1 Jul | @ Chornomorets | 1–2 | L |
| 23 May | @ Oleksandria | 1–1 | D |
| 17 May | vs Shakhtar Donetsk | 2–3 | L |
| 12 May | @ Veres Rivne | 3–1 | W |
| 8 May | vs Karpaty | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Mar 2026 | Kryvbas KR v Zorya Luhansk | 3–1 |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 |  Polessya | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 |  Karpaty | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Zorya Luhansk | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bukovyna | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 |  Chornomorets | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Livyi Bereh | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Veres Rivne | 12 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Kudrivka | 12 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas KR | 10 | -8 | 7 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kryvbas KR 14%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?
Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Slavutych-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.