Liga I · Romania · Arena NaționalăFCSB vs Oţelul prediction & analysis
FCSB to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FCSB 2.0 – 0.8 Oţelul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FCSB are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 15% for Oţelul.
FCSB have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Oţelul have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for FCSB, 0.8 for Oţelul). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is FCSB to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.52.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FCSB to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | FCSB or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | FCSB ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FCSB / FT FCSB ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 12% | 8.23 | – |
Form
FCSB – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Universitatea Craiova | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Petrolul Ploiesti | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Dinamo Bucuresti | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Arges Pitesti | 5–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Uta Arad | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ CFR 1907 Cluj | 0–1 | L |
Oţelul – last 6
| 21 Sep | vs Corvinul Hunedoara | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Universitatea Cluj | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Rapid | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ FC Voluntari | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | vs Arges Pitesti | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Concordia | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FCSB and Oţelul.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Universitatea Craiova | 15 | +24 | 33 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | +21 | 33 |
| 3 |  Rapid | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 4 |  Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | +2 | 27 |
| 5 |  Universitatea Cluj | 15 | +6 | 26 |
| 6 |  Farul Constanta | 15 | +2 | 24 |
| 7 |  Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 |  FCSB | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 |  CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 |  Uta Arad | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 |  FC Botosani | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 |  Arges Pitesti | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 |  Oţelul | 15 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 |  FC Voluntari | 15 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 |  Csikszereda | 15 | -19 | 6 |
More Liga I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FCSB vs Oţelul?
Our pick is FCSB to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FCSB vs Oţelul?
On our numbers FCSB have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Oţelul 15%.
How many goals will there be in FCSB vs Oţelul?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is FCSB vs Oţelul?
FCSB vs Oţelul (Liga I) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Națională.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.