Liga I · Romania · Arena NationalaFCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti prediction & analysis
FCSB to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FCSB 1.8 – 0.7 Petrolul Ploiesti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FCSB are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 15% for Petrolul Ploiesti.
FCSB have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Petrolul Ploiesti have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for FCSB, 0.7 for Petrolul Ploiesti). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, FCSB have won 1, Petrolul Ploiesti have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is FCSB to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FCSB to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | FCSB or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | FCSB ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FCSB / FT FCSB ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.60 | – |
Form
FCSB – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Dinamo Bucuresti | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sep | @ Arges Pitesti | 5–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Uta Arad | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ CFR 1907 Cluj | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs FC Botosani | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | @ Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 0–0 | D |
Petrolul Ploiesti – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Corvinul Hunedoara | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | @ Universitatea Cluj | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Universitatea Cluj | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Rapid | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | @ CSM Reşiţa | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | @ FC Voluntari | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 24 Apr 2026 | FCSB v Petrolul Ploiesti | 3–1 |
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Universitatea Craiova | 15 | +24 | 33 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Bucuresti | 15 | +21 | 33 |
| 3 |  Rapid | 15 | +10 | 31 |
| 4 |  Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | +2 | 27 |
| 5 |  Universitatea Cluj | 15 | +6 | 26 |
| 6 |  Farul Constanta | 15 | +2 | 24 |
| 7 |  Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 |  FCSB | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 |  CFR 1907 Cluj | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 |  Uta Arad | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 |  FC Botosani | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 |  Arges Pitesti | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 |  Oţelul | 15 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 |  FC Voluntari | 15 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 |  Csikszereda | 15 | -19 | 6 |
More Liga I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
Our pick is FCSB to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
On our numbers FCSB have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Petrolul Ploiesti 15%.
How many goals will there be in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti (Liga I) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Nationala.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.