Championship · Northern-Ireland · The ShowgroundsNewry City AFC vs Newington Youth prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newry City AFC 1.8 – 1.8 Newington Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Newry City AFC and Newington Youth on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Newry City AFC have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Newington Youth have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.8 for Newry City AFC, 1.8 for Newington Youth). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Newington Youth to win ✓ | 39% | 2.53 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Newington Youth / FT Newington Youth ✗ | 23% | 4.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.36 | – |
Form
Newry City AFC – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Carrick Rangers | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Queen's University | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Dundela | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Loughgall | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs H&W Welders | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Annagh United | 1–1 | D |
Newington Youth – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Ballymena United | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Moyola Park | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Ards | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Institute | 0–7 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Ballinamallard United | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Glenavon FC | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and Newington Youth.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?
On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newington Youth 39%.
How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth?
Newry City AFC vs Newington Youth (Championship) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.