Championship · Northern-Ireland · The ShowgroundsNewry City AFC vs Annagh United prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Newry City AFC 1.4 – 1.9 Annagh United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Annagh United shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 30% for Newry City AFC.
Newry City AFC have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Annagh United have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Annagh United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.4 for Newry City AFC, 1.9 for Annagh United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.23.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Annagh United to win ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Annagh United ahead at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Annagh United / FT Annagh United ✗ | 30% | 3.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.80 | – |
Form
Newry City AFC – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ Strabane Athletic | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Armagh City | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Institute | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Warrenpoint Town | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Rathfriland | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | vs Glenavon FC | 1–4 | L |
Annagh United – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs H&W Welders | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Ards | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Ballinamallard United | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Moyola Park | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Dundela | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Aug | vs Rathfriland | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and Annagh United.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs Annagh United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Annagh United?
On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Annagh United 50%.
How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs Annagh United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Newry City AFC vs Annagh United?
Newry City AFC vs Annagh United (Championship) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.