Championship · Northern-IrelandAnnagh United vs H&W Welders prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Value bet: H&W Welders to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Annagh United 1.2 – 2.0 H&W Welders expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
H&W Welders shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 25% for Annagh United.
Annagh United have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. H&W Welders have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.2 for Annagh United, 2.0 for H&W Welders). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 0–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Annagh United have won 0, H&W Welders have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, H&W Welders to win at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | H&W Welders to win ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | H&W Welders ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT H&W Welders / FT H&W Welders ✗ | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.26 | – |
Form
Annagh United – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Ards | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Ballinamallard United | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Moyola Park | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Dundela | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Aug | vs Rathfriland | 4–2 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Newington Youth | 1–4 | L |
H&W Welders – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Moyola Park | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Dundela | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Strabane Athletic | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Armagh City | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | @ Queen's University | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Warrenpoint Town | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 Apr 2026 | H&W Welders v Annagh United | 0–0 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Annagh United vs H&W Welders?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Annagh United vs H&W Welders?
On our numbers Annagh United have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 18% and H&W Welders 57%.
How many goals will there be in Annagh United vs H&W Welders?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Annagh United vs H&W Welders?
Annagh United vs H&W Welders (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.