Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town preview and prediction
The match
Warrenpoint Town travel to The Showgrounds in the Championship on Friday 21 August (19:45 WAT) to face Newry City AFC. Newry City AFC are 5th with 23 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Warrenpoint Town sit 10th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Newry City AFC's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Rathfriland 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Warrenpoint Town's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Ards 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Newry City AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Newry City AFC and 1.3 for Warrenpoint Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newry City AFC 46%, draw 21%, Warrenpoint Town 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Newry City AFC 1–1 Warrenpoint Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newry City AFC46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Warrenpoint Town34%fair 2.98 · @2.88
2.89Expected goals
1.58Newry City AFC xG
1.31Warrenpoint Town xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Newry City AFC 1.6 – 1.3 Warrenpoint Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newry City AFC to win✗
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newry City AFC / FT Newry City AFC✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.00
–
Form
Newry City AFC – last 5
WLWWW
15 Aug
@ Rathfriland
2–1
W
11 Aug
vs Glenavon FC
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Ballinamallard United
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Bangor
1–0
W
1 May
@ Dollingstown
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Warrenpoint Town – last 6
LWLLLL
15 Aug
vs Ards
1–3
L
11 Aug
vs Armagh City
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ H&W Welders
0–3
L
21 Jul
@ Cliftonville FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Crusaders FC
0–2
L
4 Jul
@ Limavady United
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newry City AFC and Warrenpoint Town.
What is the prediction for Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
On our numbers Newry City AFC have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Warrenpoint Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
Our predicted score is Newry City AFC 1–1 Warrenpoint Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town?
Newry City AFC vs Warrenpoint Town (Championship) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Showgrounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
