Championship · Northern-IrelandAnnagh United vs Moyola Park prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Annagh United 2.5 – 1.2 Moyola Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Annagh United are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 16% for Moyola Park.
Annagh United have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.5 per game. Moyola Park have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.7 goals (2.5 for Annagh United, 1.2 for Moyola Park). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.49.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Annagh United to win ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Annagh United or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.87 | 1.62 |
| Half-time result | Annagh United ahead at half-time ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Annagh United / FT Annagh United ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.80 | – |
Form
Annagh United – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Dundela | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Aug | vs Rathfriland | 4–2 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Newington Youth | 1–4 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Ballymena United | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Ballymacash Rangers | 5–2 | W |
| 7 Jul | @ Dungannon Swifts | 0–3 | L |
Moyola Park – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Ballinamallard United | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | vs Strabane Athletic | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Dundela | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Aug | vs Dungannon Swifts | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Crusaders FC | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Jul | vs Bangor | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Annagh United and Moyola Park.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Annagh United | 15 | +21 | 34 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 14 | +20 | 30 |
| 3 |  Newington Youth | 14 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Queen's University | 15 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Newry City AFC | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 |  Institute | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ballinamallard United | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 |  Loughgall | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 |  H&W Welders | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Warrenpoint Town | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Ards | 15 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 |  Rathfriland | 14 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 |  Moyola Park | 14 | -11 | 15 |
| 14 |  Dundela | 13 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 |  Armagh City | 15 | -16 | 9 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Annagh United vs Moyola Park?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Annagh United vs Moyola Park?
On our numbers Annagh United have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Moyola Park 16%.
How many goals will there be in Annagh United vs Moyola Park?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Annagh United vs Moyola Park?
Annagh United vs Moyola Park (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.