League One · England · Kassam StadiumOxford United vs Wigan prediction & analysis
Oxford United to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Oxford United 1.7 – 0.9 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Oxford United hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 22% for Wigan.
Oxford United have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Wigan have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Oxford United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 for Oxford United, 0.9 for Wigan). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%).
Our pick is Oxford United to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oxford United to win ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✓ | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.94 | – |
Form
Oxford United – last 6
| 15 Oct | @ Mansfield Town | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Notts County | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | @ Exeter City | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Cambridge United | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Burton Albion | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Leicester | 4–0 | W |
Wigan – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Reading | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Stevenage | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Blackpool | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Wycombe | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sheffield Wednesday | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Stockport County | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oxford United and Wigan.
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | +10 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | -20 | 9 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Wigan?
Our pick is Oxford United to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Oxford United vs Wigan?
On our numbers Oxford United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wigan 22%.
How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Wigan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Oxford United vs Wigan?
Oxford United vs Wigan (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.