League One · England · Field Mill

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United prediction & analysis

64%

Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.62Odds

Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMansfield Town to win ✗40% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87

Win chances

Mansfield Town40%fair 2.53 · @2.20

Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40

Oxford United38%fair 2.66 · @2.90

3.27Expected goals

1.66Mansfield Town xG

1.61Oxford United xG

64%Both score

63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–06%

0–16%

From our goals model: Mansfield Town 1.7 – 1.6 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Mansfield Town and Oxford United on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Mansfield Town have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Oxford United have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Oxford United come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.3 goals (1.7 for Mansfield Town, 1.6 for Oxford United). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Oxford United to win at 2.90 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mansfield Town to win ✗	40%	2.53	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.29	1.29
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.65	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mansfield Town / FT Mansfield Town ✗	24%	4.25	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.87	–

Form

Mansfield Town – last 6

WLDDLL

10 Oct	vs Bromley	2–1	W
6 Oct	@ Port Vale	0–2	L
19 Sep	@ Burton Albion	2–2	D
12 Sep	vs Huddersfield	0–0	D
5 Sep	@ Bradford	0–1	L
2 Sep	@ Reading	0–5	L

0.7Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Oxford United – last 6

WDDWWL

10 Oct	@ Notts County	2–1	W
6 Oct	@ Exeter City	2–2	D
19 Sep	vs Cambridge United	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs Burton Albion	3–0	W
5 Sep	@ Leicester	4–0	W
1 Sep	@ Huddersfield	1–3	L

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mansfield Town and Oxford United.

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

On our numbers Mansfield Town have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oxford United 38%.

How many goals will there be in Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Mansfield Town vs Oxford United?

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United (League One) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Field Mill.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Mansfield Town

Oxford United