League Two · England · Sixfields StadiumNorthampton vs Oldham prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Northampton to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Northampton 1.1 – 0.9 Oldham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Northampton hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 34% for Oldham.
Northampton have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Oldham have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Northampton, 0.9 for Oldham). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.92. For a bigger price, Northampton to win at 2.70 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Northampton to win ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | 2.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Northampton / FT Northampton ✗ | 22% | 4.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.07 | – |
Form
Northampton – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Accrington ST | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Colchester | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Tranmere | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Grimsby | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ York | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Cambridge United | 1–2 | L |
Oldham – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Crawley Town | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Barnet | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | @ Walsall | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Cheltenham | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | vs Leeds United U21 | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Accrington ST | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Northampton and Oldham.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Northampton vs Oldham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Northampton vs Oldham?
On our numbers Northampton have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oldham 34%.
How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Oldham?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Northampton vs Oldham?
Northampton vs Oldham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.