Championship · England · Ashton Gate StadiumBristol City vs Lincoln prediction & analysis
Bristol City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Bristol City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bristol City 1.8 – 0.8 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bristol City are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 17% for Lincoln.
Bristol City have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Lincoln have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Bristol City, 0.8 for Lincoln). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Bristol City or draw at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Bristol City to win at 1.95 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bristol City to win ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Bristol City or draw ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Bristol City ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bristol City / FT Bristol City ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.88 | – |
Form
Bristol City – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Southampton | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Burnley | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | @ Preston | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Portsmouth | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Birmingham | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Millwall | 0–2 | L |
Lincoln – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Preston | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Bournemouth | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Southampton | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Blackburn | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Bolton | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | @ Blackpool | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol City and Lincoln.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Bristol City or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bristol City vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Bristol City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lincoln 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Bristol City vs Lincoln?
Bristol City vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.