3. Liga CFL B · Czech-Republic · Mestsky stadion v KotlineVarnsdorf vs Jablonec II prediction & analysis
Varnsdorf or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Varnsdorf 2.2 – 1.3 Jablonec II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Varnsdorf hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 20% for Jablonec II.
Varnsdorf have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Jablonec II have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Jablonec II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 for Varnsdorf, 1.3 for Jablonec II). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Varnsdorf have won 0, Jablonec II have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Varnsdorf or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.24.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Varnsdorf to win ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | Varnsdorf or draw ✗ | 80% | 1.24 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Half-time result | Varnsdorf ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Varnsdorf / FT Varnsdorf ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.42 | – |
Form
Varnsdorf – last 6
| 16 Sep | vs Slavia Praha | 1–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Sokol Zápy | 4–4 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Velké Hamry | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Neratovice-Byškovice | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Ústí nad Labem | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Chrudim | 1–3 | L |
Jablonec II – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Mladá Boleslav II | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Slovan Liberec II | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Sokol Zápy | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | vs Velké Hamry | 6–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Neratovice-Byškovice | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Horní Ředice | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Jablonec II v Varnsdorf | 3–3 |
3. Liga CFL B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal Česká Lípa | 32 | +62 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sokol Zápy | 32 | +45 | 74 |
| 3 |  Baník Souš | 32 | +26 | 64 |
| 4 |  Hradec Králové II | 32 | +23 | 61 |
| 5 |  Teplice II | 32 | +4 | 50 |
| 6 |  Benátky nad Jizerou | 32 | +5 | 44 |
| 7 |  Pardubice II | 32 | +12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Jablonec II | 32 | -13 | 39 |
| 9 |  Mladá Boleslav II | 32 | -11 | 38 |
| 10 |  Slovan Liberec II | 32 | +8 | 37 |
| 11 |  Varnsdorf | 32 | -19 | 37 |
| 12 |  Neratovice-Byškovice | 32 | -22 | 36 |
| 13 |  Sokol Brozany | 32 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 |  Velké Hamry | 32 | -12 | 31 |
| 15 |  Ústí nad Orlicí | 32 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 |  Slovan Velvary | 32 | -36 | 25 |
| 17 |  Kolín | 32 | -32 | 24 |
More 3. Liga CFL B predictions
League hub
Chrudim1
Čáslav2
Horní Ředice1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II?
Our pick is Varnsdorf or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II?
On our numbers Varnsdorf have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jablonec II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II?
Varnsdorf vs Jablonec II (3. Liga CFL B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Kotline.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.