II Liga East · PolandSandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra prediction & analysis
Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2.1 – 0.9 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sandecja Nowy Sącz are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Lechia Zielona Góra.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Lechia Zielona Góra have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.1 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz, 0.9 for Lechia Zielona Góra). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sandecja Nowy Sącz to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Half-time result | Sandecja Nowy Sącz ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sandecja Nowy Sącz / FT Sandecja Nowy Sącz ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.85 | – |
Form
Sandecja Nowy Sącz – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Tychy 71 | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Śląsk Wrocław II | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Podhale Nowy Targ | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Polonia Środa | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Resovia Rzeszów | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Górnik Łęczna | 1–1 | D |
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Znicz Pruszków | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Resovia Rzeszów | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Świt Skolwin | 1–4 | L |
| 2 Sep | vs Ruch Chorzów | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Avia Świdnik | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Hutnik Kraków | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sandecja Nowy Sącz and Lechia Zielona Góra.
II Liga East table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Znicz Pruszków | 15 | +12 | 33 |
| 2 |  Górnik Łęczna | 15 | +18 | 29 |
| 3 |  Tychy 71 | 14 | +11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Chojniczanka Chojnice | 15 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Legia Warszawa II | 15 | +5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Podhale Nowy Targ | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Lechia Zielona Góra | 15 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 |  Olimpia Grudziądz | 15 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Hutnik Kraków | 15 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Avia Świdnik | 15 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stal Stalowa Wola | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 15 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Sokół Kleczew | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 |  Świt Skolwin | 15 | -13 | 13 |
| 17 |  Śląsk Wrocław II | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  Resovia Rzeszów | 15 | -16 | 6 |
More II Liga East predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Our pick is Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
On our numbers Sandecja Nowy Sącz have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lechia Zielona Góra 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Lechia Zielona Góra (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.