II Liga East · Poland · Stadion MZOS ZniczZnicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola prediction & analysis
Znicz Pruszków to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Znicz Pruszków 2.1 – 1.2 Stal Stalowa Wola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Znicz Pruszków hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 23% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
Znicz Pruszków have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. Stal Stalowa Wola have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded. Znicz Pruszków come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 for Znicz Pruszków, 1.2 for Stal Stalowa Wola). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Znicz Pruszków to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Znicz Pruszków to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Half-time result | Znicz Pruszków ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Znicz Pruszków / FT Znicz Pruszków ✓ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.30 | – |
Form
Znicz Pruszków – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Lechia Zielona Góra | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Tychy 71 | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Hutnik Kraków | 4–2 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs Cracovia Krakow | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Śląsk Wrocław II | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Świt Skolwin | 1–1 | D |
Stal Stalowa Wola – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Resovia Rzeszów | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Podhale Nowy Targ | 0–5 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 3–3 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Hutnik Kraków | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Chojniczanka Chojnice | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Avia Świdnik | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Znicz Pruszków and Stal Stalowa Wola.
II Liga East table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Znicz Pruszków | 15 | +12 | 33 |
| 2 |  Górnik Łęczna | 15 | +18 | 29 |
| 3 |  Tychy 71 | 14 | +11 | 27 |
| 4 |  Chojniczanka Chojnice | 15 | +2 | 24 |
| 5 |  Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 6 |  Legia Warszawa II | 15 | +5 | 22 |
| 7 |  Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 15 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Podhale Nowy Targ | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 9 |  Lechia Zielona Góra | 15 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 |  Olimpia Grudziądz | 15 | -3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Hutnik Kraków | 15 | +2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Avia Świdnik | 15 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stal Stalowa Wola | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 15 | +1 | 18 |
| 15 |  Sokół Kleczew | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 |  Świt Skolwin | 15 | -13 | 13 |
| 17 |  Śląsk Wrocław II | 15 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 |  Resovia Rzeszów | 15 | -16 | 6 |
More II Liga East predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our pick is Znicz Pruszków to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
On our numbers Znicz Pruszków have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stal Stalowa Wola 23%.
How many goals will there be in Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Znicz Pruszków vs Stal Stalowa Wola (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MZOS Znicz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.