Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola prediction & analysis

Very little separates Podhale Nowy Targ and Stal Stalowa Wola on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Podhale Nowy Targ have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.3 per game. Stal Stalowa Wola have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Podhale Nowy Targ come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.6 goals (1.9 for Podhale Nowy Targ, 1.8 for Stal Stalowa Wola). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Podhale Nowy Targ have won 0, Stal Stalowa Wola have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is better than our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Stal Stalowa Wola to win at 2.90 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).