Cup · Russia
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 – 1.3 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torpedo Moskva shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 32% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Shinnik Yaroslavl have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Torpedo Moskva have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 for Shinnik Yaroslavl, 1.3 for Torpedo Moskva). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 0, Torpedo Moskva have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.48.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torpedo Moskva to win ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | 2.18 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.09 | – |
Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Rotor Volgograd | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Enisey | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ FK Neftekhimik | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Arsenal Tula | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Nizhny Novgorod | 0–3 | L |
Torpedo Moskva – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ Tekstilshchik | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Ska-khabarovsk | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Spartak Kostroma | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Chelyabinsk | 4–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs FC Sochi | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ Arsenal Tula | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Jul 2026 | Torpedo Moskva v Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1–1 |
| 11 May 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl v Torpedo Moskva | 1–1 |
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Ural1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Moskva 46%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.