NB I · Hungary · Illovszky Rudolf StadionVasas vs Puskas Academy prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Puskas Academy to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vasas 1.7 – 1.4 Puskas Academy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vasas hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Puskas Academy.
Vasas have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Puskas Academy have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Vasas come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.7 for Vasas, 1.4 for Puskas Academy). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Puskas Academy to win at 3.20 is our value angle (33% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vasas to win ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | 2.12 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vasas / FT Vasas ✗ | 27% | 3.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.06 | – |
Form
Vasas – last 6
| 14 Aug | @ Budapest Honved | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Zalaegerszegi TE | 5–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | @ Ferencvarosi TC | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | vs Gyori ETO FC | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Fehérvár FC | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jul | vs Soroksar | 2–1 | W |
Puskas Academy – last 6
| 16 Aug | vs Paks | 3–2 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ MTK Budapest | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Jul | vs Kisvarda FC | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Debreceni VSC | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | vs Başakşehir | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jul | vs FC BW Linz | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasas and Puskas Academy.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Puskas Academy | 13 | +3 | 24 |
| 2 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 12 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 |  Gyori ETO FC | 13 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  Debreceni VSC | 13 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 |  Paks | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Ujpest | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Vasas | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 |  Budapest Honved | 12 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Zalaegerszegi TE | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  MTK Budapest | 13 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 |  Kisvarda FC | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Nyiregyhaza | 13 | -10 | 12 |
More NB I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vasas vs Puskas Academy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vasas vs Puskas Academy?
On our numbers Vasas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Puskas Academy 33%.
How many goals will there be in Vasas vs Puskas Academy?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Vasas vs Puskas Academy?
Vasas vs Puskas Academy (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.