Czech Liga · Czech-Republic · Doosan Arena
Plzen
Sparta Praha
Plzen vs Sparta Praha prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Plzen 1.5 – 1.6 Sparta Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Plzen and Sparta Praha on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Plzen have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Sparta Praha have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Plzen come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Plzen, 1.6 for Sparta Praha). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Plzen have won 0, Sparta Praha have won 0 and 2 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 79% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.27.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sparta Praha to win ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | 2.55 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha ✗ | 24% | 4.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.51 | – |
Form
Plzen – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Lillestrom | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Nov | @ Baník Ostrava | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Vysočina Jihlava | 6–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Pardubice | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs Levski Sofia | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ FK Jablonec | 3–2 | W |
Sparta Praha – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Bournemouth | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Nov | @ Bohemians 1905 | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | vs Baník Ostrava | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Slovácko | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ Olympiakos Piraeus | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Baník Ostrava | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 12 May 2026 | Sparta Praha v Plzen | 0–0 |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Plzen v Sparta Praha | 0–0 |
More Czech Liga predictions
Teplice1
Pardubice4
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
65%@1.43
✗
FT
FK Jablonec0
Mlada Boleslav0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
78%@1.20
✗
FT
Slavia Praha4
Artis1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
67%@1.36
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
On our numbers Plzen have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sparta Praha 41%.
How many goals will there be in Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
Plzen vs Sparta Praha (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Doosan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.