Czech Liga · Czech-Republic · Stadion Strelnice
FK Jablonec
Mlada Boleslav
FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
Value bet: FK Jablonec to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FK Jablonec 1.9 – 1.0 Mlada Boleslav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FK Jablonec hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 21% for Mlada Boleslav.
FK Jablonec have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Mlada Boleslav have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Mlada Boleslav come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for FK Jablonec, 1.0 for Mlada Boleslav). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, FK Jablonec have won 1, Mlada Boleslav have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.28. For a bigger price, FK Jablonec to win at 1.90 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FK Jablonec to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | FK Jablonec ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec ✗ | 37% | 2.74 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.13 | – |
Form
FK Jablonec – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ Riga | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs Slavia Praha | 0–5 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Hradec Králové | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Brighton | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Plzen | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Oct | @ SC Freiburg | 2–3 | L |
Mlada Boleslav – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Hradec Králové | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Bohemians 1905 | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ Slavia Praha | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Teplice | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Bohemians 1905 | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Plzen | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 21 Apr 2026 | FK Jablonec v Mlada Boleslav | 1–0 |
More Czech Liga predictions
Teplice1
Pardubice4
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
65%@1.43
✗
FT
Slavia Praha4
Artis1
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
67%@1.36
✓
FT
Plzen1
Sparta Praha1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
79%@1.22
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mlada Boleslav 21%.
How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Strelnice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.