Czech Liga · Czech-Republic · Andruv StadionSigma Olomouc vs Pardubice prediction & analysis
Sigma Olomouc or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sigma Olomouc to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sigma Olomouc 1.9 – 1.0 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sigma Olomouc hold the edge on home soil with a 56% chance of winning, against 18% for Pardubice.
Sigma Olomouc have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Pardubice have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. Sigma Olomouc come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Sigma Olomouc, 1.0 for Pardubice). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Sigma Olomouc or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is better than our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Sigma Olomouc to win at 1.95 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sigma Olomouc to win ✓ | 56% | 1.77 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sigma Olomouc or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.29 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Sigma Olomouc ahead at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sigma Olomouc / FT Sigma Olomouc ✓ | 36% | 2.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.49 | – |
Form
Sigma Olomouc – last 6
| 15 Aug | @ Slovácko | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Artis | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Mlada Boleslav | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ FK Jablonec | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Jul | vs Al Sadd | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2–0 | W |
Pardubice – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Mlada Boleslav | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Slavia Praha | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs FK Jablonec | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Hradec Králové | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Vysočina Jihlava | 5–0 | W |
| 9 Jul | @ Cracovia Krakow | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sigma Olomouc and Pardubice.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 14 | +28 | 34 |
| 2 |  Slovan Liberec | 13 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 |  Mlada Boleslav | 14 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Sigma Olomouc | 14 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 |  Plzen | 14 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Hradec Králové | 14 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 13 | -13 | 14 |
| 14 |  Artis | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Zlin | 14 | -16 | 3 |
More Czech Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice?
Our pick is Sigma Olomouc or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Sigma Olomouc have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pardubice 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice?
Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Andruv Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.