Liga Nacional · GuatemalaMixco vs Cobán Imperial prediction & analysis
Mixco to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mixco 2.1 – 1.0 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mixco are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 14% for Cobán Imperial.
Mixco have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Cobán Imperial have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Mixco, 1.0 for Cobán Imperial). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Mixco have won 0, Cobán Imperial have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Mixco to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mixco to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Mixco or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | Mixco ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mixco / FT Mixco ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.62 | – |
Form
Mixco – last 6
| 15 Oct | @ Marquense | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Suchitepéquez | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Antigua GFC | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Malacateco | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Aurora | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 0–2 | L |
Cobán Imperial – last 6
| 15 Oct | vs Municipal | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Antigua GFC | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Malacateco | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Aurora | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 15 Aug 2026 | Cobán Imperial v Mixco | 3–2 |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Cobán Imperial v Mixco | 2–0 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
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Deportivo San Pedro1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mixco vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Mixco to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mixco vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Mixco have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cobán Imperial 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Mixco vs Cobán Imperial?
Mixco vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.