Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Marquesa de la EnsenadaMarquense vs Mixco prediction & analysis
Marquense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Marquense 2.0 – 0.8 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Marquense are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Mixco.
Marquense have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.5 per game. Mixco have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Marquense, 0.8 for Mixco). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Marquense have won 1, Mixco have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Marquense to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Marquense to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Marquense or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Half-time result | Marquense ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Marquense / FT Marquense ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.56 | – |
Form
Marquense – last 6
| 12 Oct | @ Municipal | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Antigua GFC | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Malacateco | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Aurora | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Deportivo San Pedro | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Sep | @ Comunicaciones | 2–0 | W |
Mixco – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Suchitepéquez | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Antigua GFC | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | @ Malacateco | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Aurora | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 8 Aug 2026 | Mixco v Marquense | 1–0 |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Mixco v Marquense | 2–1 |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Marquense v Mixco | 2–1 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Mixco?
Our pick is Marquense to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Marquense vs Mixco?
On our numbers Marquense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mixco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Marquense vs Mixco?
Marquense vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.