Liga Nacional · GuatemalaMixco vs Aurora prediction & analysis
Mixco to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mixco 2.2 – 0.9 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mixco are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 12% for Aurora.
Mixco have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Aurora have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.2 for Mixco, 0.9 for Aurora). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Mixco have won 0, Aurora have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Mixco to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mixco to win ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Mixco or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Mixco ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mixco / FT Mixco ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.12 | – |
Form
Mixco – last 6
| 9 Sep | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Comunicaciones | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Xelajú | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Alianza FC | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Guastatoya | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Aug | vs UMECIT | 4–1 | W |
Aurora – last 6
| 10 Sep | vs Municipal | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Antigua GFC | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Malacateco | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Suchitepéquez | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Deportivo San Pedro | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Comunicaciones | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 1 Mar 2026 | Aurora v Mixco | 1–1 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
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Deportivo San Pedro0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mixco vs Aurora?
Our pick is Mixco to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mixco vs Aurora?
On our numbers Mixco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aurora 12%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Aurora?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Mixco vs Aurora?
Mixco vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.