Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Mario CamposecoXelajú vs Cobán Imperial prediction & analysis
Xelajú to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Xelajú 2.0 – 0.9 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Xelajú are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 19% for Cobán Imperial.
Xelajú have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cobán Imperial have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Xelajú come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Xelajú, 0.9 for Cobán Imperial). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Xelajú have won 0, Cobán Imperial have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Xelajú to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Xelajú to win ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Half-time result | Xelajú ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.12 | – |
Form
Xelajú – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Marquense | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Mixco | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Aug | vs Firpo | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Municipal | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Diriangén | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | @ Plaza Amador | 2–5 | L |
Cobán Imperial – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Guastatoya | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Suchitepéquez | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | @ Marquense | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | vs Antigua GFC | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Mixco | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | @ Municipal | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 5 Mar 2026 | Cobán Imperial v Xelajú | 1–1 |
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Xelajú to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cobán Imperial 19%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial?
Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.