Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rudar to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRudar to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceRudar or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.28
Rudar vs Jesenice preview and prediction
The match
The 2. SNL sees Rudar take on Jesenice on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Mestni stadion ob jezeru. Rudar are 7th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Jesenice sit 8th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rudar's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Primorje 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Jesenice's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Bistrica 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Rudar and 0.9 for Jesenice. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rudar 66%, draw 21%, Jesenice 13%.
Safer route: Rudar or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Rudar to win at 1.73 – 66% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rudar or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rudar 2–0 Jesenice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rudar66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.70
Jesenice13%fair 7.75 · @3.70
3.14Expected goals
2.23Rudar xG
0.91Jesenice xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rudar 2.2 – 0.9 Jesenice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rudar to win✗
66%
1.51
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Rudar or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Rudar ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rudar / FT Rudar✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Rudar – last 6
LWLLWW
27 Oct
@ Primorje
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Slovan Ljubljana
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Bistrica
1–3
L
28 Sep
vs Dravinja
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Brežice
4–3
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jesenice – last 6
LLDLWW
28 Oct
vs Bistrica
1–3
L
16 Oct
@ Dravinja
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Brežice
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Triglav
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Dren Vrhnika
5–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bilje
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rudar and Jesenice.
Our pick is Rudar or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rudar vs Jesenice?
On our numbers Rudar have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jesenice 13%.
How many goals will there be in Rudar vs Jesenice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rudar vs Jesenice?
Our predicted score is Rudar 2–0 Jesenice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rudar vs Jesenice?
Rudar vs Jesenice (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion ob jezeru.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
