2. SNL · SloveniaJesenice vs Bistrica prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jesenice 1.5 – 1.5 Bistrica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Jesenice and Bistrica on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Jesenice have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bistrica have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Jesenice, 1.5 for Bistrica). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.70.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bistrica to win ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bistrica / FT Bistrica ✗ | 22% | 4.49 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.89 | – |
Form
Jesenice – last 6
| 16 Oct | @ Dravinja | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Brežice | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Triglav | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Dren Vrhnika | 5–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Bilje | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Ilirija | 3–1 | W |
Bistrica – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Bilje | 4–3 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Primorje | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Slovan Ljubljana | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Rudar | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Tabor Sežana | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Dravinja | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jesenice and Bistrica.
2. SNL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tabor Sežana | 14 | +17 | 34 |
| 2 |  Beltinci | 14 | +24 | 31 |
| 3 |  Triglav | 14 | +18 | 31 |
| 4 |  Bilje | 14 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 |  Bistrica | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Ilirija | 14 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Rudar | 14 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Jesenice | 14 | +1 | 19 |
| 9 |  Dekani | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Slovan Ljubljana | 14 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 |  Krka | 14 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Primorje | 14 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dravinja | 14 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 |  Dren Vrhnika | 14 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 |  Krško | 14 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 |  Brežice | 14 | -16 | 7 |
More 2. SNL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jesenice vs Bistrica?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Jesenice vs Bistrica?
On our numbers Jesenice have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bistrica 39%.
How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Bistrica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Jesenice vs Bistrica?
Jesenice vs Bistrica (2. SNL) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.