2. SNL · SloveniaJesenice vs Ilirija prediction & analysis
Ilirija or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Ilirija to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Jesenice 0.9 – 1.8 Ilirija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ilirija shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 20% for Jesenice.
Jesenice have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Ilirija have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 for Jesenice, 1.8 for Ilirija). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Jesenice have won 0, Ilirija have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Ilirija or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Ilirija to win at 1.91 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ilirija to win ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Ilirija or draw ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ilirija / FT Ilirija ✗ | 36% | 2.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.99 | – |
Form
Jesenice – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Krka | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Beltinci | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Dekani | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Krško | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Tabor Sežana | 0–3 | L |
| 23 May | vs Dravinja | 0–1 | L |
Ilirija – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Primorje | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | @ Slovan Ljubljana | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Rudar | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Bistrica | 6–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | vs Dravinja | 1–0 | W |
| 22 May | vs Beltinci | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 6 Mar 2026 | Ilirija v Jesenice | 2–0 |
2. SNL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tabor Sežana | 14 | +17 | 34 |
| 2 |  Beltinci | 14 | +24 | 31 |
| 3 |  Triglav | 14 | +18 | 31 |
| 4 |  Bilje | 14 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 |  Bistrica | 14 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Ilirija | 14 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Rudar | 14 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Jesenice | 14 | +1 | 19 |
| 9 |  Dekani | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Slovan Ljubljana | 14 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 |  Krka | 14 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Primorje | 14 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dravinja | 14 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 |  Dren Vrhnika | 14 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 |  Krško | 14 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 |  Brežice | 14 | -16 | 7 |
More 2. SNL predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Jesenice vs Ilirija?
Our pick is Ilirija or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jesenice vs Ilirija?
On our numbers Jesenice have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ilirija 59%.
How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Ilirija?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Jesenice vs Ilirija?
Jesenice vs Ilirija (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.