Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Achter de KazerneKV Mechelen vs Anderlecht prediction & analysis
Anderlecht or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: KV Mechelen 0.7 – 1.9 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Anderlecht travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 13% for KV Mechelen.
KV Mechelen have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Anderlecht have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Anderlecht come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.7 for KV Mechelen, 1.9 for Anderlecht). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, KV Mechelen have won 1, Anderlecht have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Anderlecht or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Anderlecht to win at 1.85 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Anderlecht to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Anderlecht or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Anderlecht ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 14% | 7.13 | – |
Form
KV Mechelen – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs KVC Westerlo | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ RAAL La Louvière | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Charleroi | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Standard Liege | 3–3 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Gent | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Dunkerque | 0–0 | D |
Anderlecht – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Genk | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Sep | vs Kortrijk | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Union St. Gilloise | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | vs Kairat Almaty | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | @ Kairat Almaty | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ SK Beveren | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Anderlecht v KV Mechelen | 2–2 |
| 15 Mar 2026 | KV Mechelen v Anderlecht | 1–0 |
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union St. Gilloise | 11 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 11 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 |  Gent | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 11 | +13 | 27 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lommel United | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Genk | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Standard Liege | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |  KVC Westerlo | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 |  OH Leuven | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  KV Mechelen | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 |  St. Truiden | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 |  Zulte Waregem | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 |  SK Beveren | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 |  Cercle Brugge | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 |  RAAL La Louvière | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 11 | -19 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?
Our pick is Anderlecht or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers KV Mechelen have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Anderlecht 65%.
How many goals will there be in KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?
KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Achter de Kazerne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.