I Liga · Poland · Stadion ROSRRiTPogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 1.1 – 1.0 Puszcza Niepołomice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Pogoń Siedlce and Puszcza Niepołomice on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Pogoń Siedlce have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Puszcza Niepołomice have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.1 for Pogoń Siedlce, 1.0 for Puszcza Niepołomice). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Pogoń Siedlce have won 0, Puszcza Niepołomice have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.76.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pogoń Siedlce to win ✗ | 39% | 2.55 | 2.62 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 21% | 4.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.62 | – |
Form
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ Podbeskidzie | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Arka Gdynia | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Chrobry Głogów | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Kluczevia Stargard | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Stal Mielec | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Lechia Gdansk | 0–1 | L |
Puszcza Niepołomice – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Polonia Bytom | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Oct | @ Wieczysta Kraków | 3–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | @ Warta Poznań | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs ŁKS Łódź | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Wisła Płock II | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Podbeskidzie | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 6 Mar 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice v Pogoń Siedlce | 3–0 |
I Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Warszawa | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 2 |  ŁKS Łódź | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 3 |  Polonia Bytom | 14 | +4 | 24 |
| 4 |  Lechia Gdansk | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 5 |  Ruch Chorzów | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Nieciecza | 14 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |  Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki | 14 | +6 | 21 |
| 8 |  Miedz Legnica | 14 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  Warta Poznań | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 |  Pogoń Siedlce | 14 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |  Stal Mielec | 14 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Arka Gdynia | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Stal Rzeszów | 14 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 |  Chrobry Głogów | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Podbeskidzie | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 |  Puszcza Niepołomice | 14 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 |  Unia Skierniewice | 14 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 |  Odra Opole | 14 | -10 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Puszcza Niepołomice 36%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.