Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaribor to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.52
Maribor vs Celje preview and prediction
The match
Celje travel to Ljudski vrt in the 1. SNL on Sunday 18 October (17:00 WAT) to face Maribor. Maribor are 2nd with 24 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Celje sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maribor's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Brinje-Grosuplje 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Celje's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Omonia Nicosia 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Maribor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Celje 1–1 Maribor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Maribor and 1.2 for Celje. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maribor 41%, draw 23%, Celje 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Maribor 1–1 Celje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maribor41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Celje37%fair 2.73 · @2.80
2.52Expected goals
1.31Maribor xG
1.21Celje xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Maribor 1.3 – 1.2 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Maribor vs Celje?
On our numbers Maribor have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celje 37%.
How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Celje?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Maribor 1–1 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maribor vs Celje?
Maribor vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.