Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCelje to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceCelje or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.83
Mura vs Celje preview and prediction
The match
Celje travel to Mestni stadion Fazanerija in the 1. SNL on Sunday 20 September (16:30 WAT) to face Mura. Mura are 9th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Celje sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Mura's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Aluminij 1–6 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Celje's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished Celje 2–2 Mura. Across their last 2 meetings Mura have won 0, Celje 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Mura and 2.1 for Celje. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mura 16%, draw 19%, Celje 64%.
Safer route: Celje or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Celje to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mura 0–2 Celje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mura16%fair 6.15 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.40
Celje64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
3.12Expected goals
0.97Mura xG
2.15Celje xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mura 1.0 – 2.1 Celje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Celje to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Mura vs Celje?
On our numbers Mura have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Celje 64%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Celje?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Celje?
Our predicted score is Mura 0–2 Celje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Celje?
Mura vs Celje (1. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
