Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaribor to win ✗67% · @1.40
Double chanceMaribor or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Maribor vs Aluminij preview and prediction
The match
Maribor host Aluminij in the 1. SNL on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at Ljudski vrt. Maribor are 2nd with 24 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Aluminij sit 7th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Maribor's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Radomlje 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Aluminij's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Mura 6–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Maribor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished Aluminij 0–0 Maribor. Across their last 3 meetings Maribor have won 1, Aluminij 0, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Maribor and 0.7 for Aluminij. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maribor 67%, draw 19%, Aluminij 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maribor to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Maribor 1–0 Aluminij. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maribor67%fair 1.49 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.20
Aluminij14%fair 7.29 · @6.00
2.56Expected goals
1.88Maribor xG
0.68Aluminij xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Maribor 1.9 – 0.7 Aluminij expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maribor to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Maribor vs Aluminij?
On our numbers Maribor have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aluminij 14%.
How many goals will there be in Maribor vs Aluminij?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maribor vs Aluminij?
Our predicted score is Maribor 1–0 Aluminij, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Maribor vs Aluminij?
Maribor vs Aluminij (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Ljudski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
