Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Edinburgh City to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEdinburgh City to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceEdinburgh City or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.06
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Edinburgh City take on Dumbarton on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Meadowbank Sports Centre. Edinburgh City are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dumbarton sit 6th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Edinburgh City's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Kelty Hearts 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dumbarton's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Keith 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Dumbarton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Dumbarton 0–3 Edinburgh City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Edinburgh City and 1.0 for Dumbarton. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Edinburgh City 59%, draw 25%, Dumbarton 16%.
Safer route: Edinburgh City or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Edinburgh City to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Edinburgh City or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Edinburgh City 2–1 Dumbarton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Edinburgh City59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.60
Dumbarton16%fair 6.10 · @3.90
3.09Expected goals
2.06Edinburgh City xG
1.03Dumbarton xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Edinburgh City 2.1 – 1.0 Dumbarton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
Our pick is Edinburgh City or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
On our numbers Edinburgh City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dumbarton 16%.
How many goals will there be in Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
Our predicted score is Edinburgh City 2–1 Dumbarton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton?
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadowbank Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
