Super League Women · BelgiumStandard Liege W vs Genk W prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Genk W to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Standard Liege W 1.5 – 1.4 Genk W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Standard Liege W and Genk W on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Standard Liege W have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5 per game. Genk W have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Standard Liege W, 1.4 for Genk W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Standard Liege W have won 0, Genk W have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.82. For a bigger price, Genk W to win at 3.00 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Standard Liege W to win ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Standard Liege W / FT Standard Liege W ✗ | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.42 | – |
Form
Standard Liege W – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Zulte-Waregem W | 4–3 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs OH Leuven W | 0–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs RAAL La Louviere W | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Club Brugge W | 1–3 | L |
| 22 May | @ OH Leuven W | 2–3 | L |
| 17 May | vs Anderlecht W | 1–1 | D |
Genk W – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Gent W | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Club Brugge W | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs OH Leuven W | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Anderlecht W | 0–4 | L |
| 22 May | vs Zulte-Waregem W | 1–2 | L |
| 9 May | @ Westerlo W | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 18 Feb 2026 | Standard Liege W v Genk W | 0–2 |
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Anderlecht W | 8 | +16 | 21 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge W | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  OH Leuven W | 8 | +12 | 13 |
| 4 |  RAAL La Louviere W | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Standard Liege W | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 |  Genk W | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Zulte-Waregem W | 8 | -9 | 3 |
| 8 |  Gent W | 8 | -22 | 0 |
More Super League Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Standard Liege W vs Genk W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Standard Liege W vs Genk W?
On our numbers Standard Liege W have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Genk W 36%.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liege W vs Genk W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Standard Liege W vs Genk W?
Standard Liege W vs Genk W (Super League Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.