USL Super League · USA · Hodges StadiumSporting JAX W vs DC Power W prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.20
Value bet: DC Power W to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sporting JAX W 1.4 – 1.3 DC Power W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Sporting JAX W and DC Power W on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Sporting JAX W have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. DC Power W have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. DC Power W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Sporting JAX W, 1.3 for DC Power W). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 2 meetings, Sporting JAX W have won 1, DC Power W have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, DC Power W to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sporting JAX W to win | 40% | 2.49 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sporting JAX W / FT Sporting JAX W | 23% | 4.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 10% | 10.44 | – |
Form
Sporting JAX W – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Dallas Trinity W | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Oct | vs Brooklyn W | 4–4 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Lexington W | 3–3 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Fort Lauderdale United W | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Carolina Ascent W | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Lexington W | 0–1 | L |
DC Power W – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Lexington W | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Nov | @ Tampa Bay Sun W | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Dallas Trinity W | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Carolina Ascent W | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Fort Lauderdale United W | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Tampa Bay Sun W | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 5 Sep 2026 | DC Power W v Sporting JAX W | 1–1 |
| 7 May 2026 | DC Power W v Sporting JAX W | 0–1 |
USL Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Ascent W | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  DC Power W | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 |  Sporting JAX W | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |  Dallas Trinity W | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lexington W | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Brooklyn W | 11 | -8 | 12 |
| 7 |  Tampa Bay Sun W | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fort Lauderdale United W | 12 | -12 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX W vs DC Power W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting JAX W vs DC Power W?
On our numbers Sporting JAX W have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and DC Power W 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX W vs DC Power W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Sporting JAX W vs DC Power W?
Sporting JAX W vs DC Power W (USL Super League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.