League One · Scotland · Albert Bartlett StadiumAirdrie United vs Queen of the South prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Airdrie United 2.1 – 1.0 Queen of the South expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Airdrie United are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 18% for Queen of the South.
Airdrie United have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 per game. Queen of the South have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 2.2 conceded. Airdrie United come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Airdrie United, 1.0 for Queen of the South). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Airdrie United have won 0, Queen of the South have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.26.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Airdrie United to win | 63% | 1.59 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Airdrie United or draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 61% | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Airdrie United ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Airdrie United / FT Airdrie United | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 10% | 9.97 | – |
Form
Airdrie United – last 6
| 7 Nov | @ Alloa Athletic | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Nov | vs Elgin City | 5–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Cove Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Ross County | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Hamilton Academical | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Hearts U21 | 3–2 | W |
Queen of the South – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs East Kilbride | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Nov | @ Arbroath | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ East Fife | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Alloa Athletic | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Ross County | 1–7 | L |
| 13 Oct | @ Berwick Rangers | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 5 Sep 2026 | Queen of the South v Airdrie United | 2–1 |
League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ross County | 14 | +40 | 38 |
| 2 |  Hamilton Academical | 14 | +17 | 33 |
| 3 |  East Kilbride | 13 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |  Montrose | 14 | -4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Airdrie United | 14 | -9 | 16 |
| 6 |  East Fife | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Peterhead | 14 | -13 | 13 |
| 8 |  Queen of the South | 14 | -24 | 13 |
| 9 |  Alloa Athletic | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 |  Cove Rangers | 13 | -4 | 12 |
More League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs Queen of the South?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Queen of the South?
On our numbers Airdrie United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Queen of the South 18%.
How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs Queen of the South?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Airdrie United vs Queen of the South?
Airdrie United vs Queen of the South (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.