Championship · Scotland · Gayfield ParkArbroath vs Raith Rovers prediction & analysis
Raith Rovers or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Arbroath 0.5 – 1.6 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Raith Rovers travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 14% for Arbroath.
Arbroath have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Raith Rovers have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Raith Rovers come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.5 for Arbroath, 1.6 for Raith Rovers). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (19%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Arbroath have won 0, Raith Rovers have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Raith Rovers or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Raith Rovers to win at 1.91 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Raith Rovers to win ✓ | 64% | 1.55 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Raith Rovers or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.22 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.63 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✓ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 19% | 5.13 | – |
Form
Arbroath – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Livingston | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Inverness CT | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Morton | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Partick | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Queen's Park | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
Raith Rovers – last 6
| 24 Oct | vs Inverness CT | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Stenhousemuir | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Queen's Park | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Morton | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Livingston | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Partick | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 12 Sep 2026 | Raith Rovers v Arbroath | 4–0 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
Our pick is Raith Rovers or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
On our numbers Arbroath have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Raith Rovers 64%.
How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
Arbroath vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.