Championship · ScotlandRaith Rovers vs Arbroath prediction & analysis
Raith Rovers to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.4 – 0.4 Arbroath expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Raith Rovers are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 11% for Arbroath.
Raith Rovers have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Arbroath have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.4 for Raith Rovers, 0.4 for Arbroath). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (24%), 2–0 (17%), 0–0 (17%).
Our pick is Raith Rovers to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Raith Rovers to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Raith Rovers or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✓ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 24% | 4.25 | – |
Form
Raith Rovers – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Inverness CT | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Dunfermline | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Ayr Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Queen's Park | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Stenhousemuir | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | vs Heart Of Midlothian | 0–1 | L |
Arbroath – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Dunfermline | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Livingston | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Morton | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Inverness CT | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Aug | @ Ayr Utd | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Stirling Albion | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raith Rovers and Arbroath.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?
Our pick is Raith Rovers to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arbroath 11%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Raith Rovers vs Arbroath?
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.