Championship · Scotland · Cappielow ParkMorton vs Livingston prediction & analysis
Livingston to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Morton 0.5 – 1.4 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Livingston travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 16% for Morton.
Morton have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Livingston have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Livingston come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.5 for Morton, 1.4 for Livingston). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (21%), 0–2 (15%), 0–0 (15%).
Our pick is Livingston to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Livingston to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Livingston or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Livingston / FT Livingston ✓ | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 21% | 4.68 | – |
Form
Morton – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Queen's Park | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Ayr Utd | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Arbroath | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Stenhousemuir | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Partick | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jul | vs Inverness CT | 0–1 | L |
Livingston – last 6
| 4 Sep | vs Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Arbroath | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Dunfermline | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Partick | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Queen's Park | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Stenhousemuir | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morton and Livingston.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Morton vs Livingston?
Our pick is Livingston to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Morton vs Livingston?
On our numbers Morton have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Livingston 65%.
How many goals will there be in Morton vs Livingston?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Morton vs Livingston?
Morton vs Livingston (Championship) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Cappielow Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.