Premiership · Scotland · Tynecastle Park
Heart Of Midlothian
Falkirk
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction & analysis
Heart Of Midlothian or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.9 – 1.0 Falkirk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Heart Of Midlothian hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 19% for Falkirk.
Heart Of Midlothian have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.7 per game. Falkirk have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Falkirk come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Heart Of Midlothian, 1.0 for Falkirk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Heart Of Midlothian have won 2, Falkirk have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.23.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Heart Of Midlothian to win ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Heart Of Midlothian or draw ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Half-time result | Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian ✗ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.66 | – |
Form
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ FC Thun | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Nov | vs Hibernian | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Rangers | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Motherwell | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | @ Trabzonspor | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Celtic | 1–7 | L |
Falkirk – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Celtic | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Aberdeen | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Kilmarnock | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Hibernian | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Dundee | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ ST Johnstone | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 15 Sep 2026 | Falkirk v Heart Of Midlothian | 2–1 |
| 13 May 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk | 3–0 |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian v Falkirk | 1–0 |
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 13 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 13 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Aberdeen | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 13 | -16 | 9 |
More Premiership predictions
League hub →Celtic1
Kilmarnock0
O2.5Over 2.5 goals
73%@1.25
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Falkirk 19%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk?
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.