Premiership · Scotland · Celtic Park
Celtic
Kilmarnock
Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Celtic 2.6 – 1.0 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Celtic are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 11% for Kilmarnock.
Celtic have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Kilmarnock have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded. Celtic come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.6 for Celtic, 1.0 for Kilmarnock). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
In their last 2 meetings, Celtic have won 2, Kilmarnock have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Celtic to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | Celtic or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Half-time result | Celtic ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Celtic / FT Celtic ✓ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.85 | – |
Form
Celtic – last 6
| 5 Nov | vs Beşiktaş | 3–2 | W |
| 1 Nov | @ Falkirk | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Dundee Utd | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Hibernian | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Celta Vigo | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Heart Of Midlothian | 7–1 | W |
Kilmarnock – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs ST Johnstone | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | @ Dundee | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Falkirk | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Motherwell | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Rangers | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Heart Of Midlothian | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 9 Aug 2026 | Kilmarnock v Celtic | 1–5 |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Kilmarnock v Celtic | 2–3 |
Premiership table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Falkirk | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 13 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Aberdeen | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 13 | -16 | 9 |
More Premiership predictions
League hub →Heart Of Midlothian2
Falkirk5
1XHeart Of Midlothian or draw
81%@1.25
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Celtic have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kilmarnock 11%.
How many goals will there be in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Celtic vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.