Premiership · Scotland · McDiarmid Park

ST Johnstone

DDLDW
2–1
FT

Dundee

WLDWW

ST Johnstone vs Dundee prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Dundee to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDundee to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55

Win chances

ST Johnstone36%fair 2.76 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Dundee41%fair 2.45 · @2.70
2.83Expected goals
1.36ST Johnstone xG
1.46Dundee xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: ST Johnstone 1.4 – 1.5 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates ST Johnstone and Dundee on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

ST Johnstone have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Dundee have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for ST Johnstone, 1.5 for Dundee). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, ST Johnstone have won 0, Dundee have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Dundee to win at 2.70 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundee to win ✗41%2.452.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundee / FT Dundee ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%11.55–

Form

ST Johnstone – last 6

DDLDWD
31 Oct@ Kilmarnock2–2D
28 Octvs Motherwell2–2D
24 Oct@ Rangers0–4L
17 Octvs Dundee Utd1–1D
11 Oct@ Aberdeen1–0W
19 Sepvs Falkirk1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dundee – last 6

WLDWWL
28 Octvs Kilmarnock3–1W
24 Oct@ ST Mirren1–2L
17 Octvs Rangers2–2D
10 Oct@ Falkirk2–1W
19 Sepvs Motherwell2–1W
6 Sep@ Heart Of Midlothian1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Dundee v ST Johnstone1–1

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub →
FT Dundee Utd1 Motherwell1 461935 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✓ FT Aberdeen0 Hibernian4 422434 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✗ FT ST Mirren0 Rangers2 142364 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

On our numbers ST Johnstone have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundee 41%.

How many goals will there be in ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

When is ST Johnstone vs Dundee?

ST Johnstone vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at McDiarmid Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.